Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Oilers
to win
58%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.504vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.040vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM.037vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.475vs.8605v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138
S. Aho80 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.446th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 3.2325th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 30.6%1st
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 77.8%20th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 52.6%6th
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).