Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers
TV Utah16, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasonsMammoth
to win
53%
Flyers
- Expected goals
2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors
favors
→
- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.500vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.093vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.030vs.010GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PHI.397vs.4655v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PHIPHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected starters
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · PHI Rick Tocchet
Leaders
- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 21st2.93
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 9th2.91
- 20.0%18th
- Power play
- 32nd15.7%
- 78.1%19th
- Penalty kill
- 22nd77.6%
- 49.2%23rd
- Faceoffs
- 18th49.5%
Season series
first meeting@
this game
@
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















