Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators
TV The Spot, SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Lightning
to win
47%
Predators
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors TBL.523vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors TBL.125vs-.0685v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors TBL.165vs.017GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors TBL.294vs.1995v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NSHNSH at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersLightning
Andrei Vasilevskiy+0.22 GSAx/6085% to start725 career GP
Dennis Hildeby+0.08 GSAx/609% to start26 career GP
Mads Sogaard-0.45 GSAx/606% to start31 career GP
Predators
Juuse Saros+0.01 GSAx/6076% to start490 career GP
Justus Annunen+0.03 GSAx/6024% to start80 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: TBL Jon Cooper · NSH Andrew Brunette
Leaders
vs- Points
N. Kucherov130 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.494th
- Goals for / game
- 20th2.95
- 2.793rd
- Goals against / game
- 26th3.26
- 20.7%17th
- Power play
- 11th23.1%
- 82.6%3rd
- Penalty kill
- 5th81.7%
- 47.4%28th
- Faceoffs
- 15th50.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).