St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings
TV DSN, STLNHL·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Blues
to win
54%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.503vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL.049vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.058vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors DET.114vs.2735v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8024th
- Goals for / game
- 22nd2.91
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 17.6%26th
- Power play
- 12th22.6%
- 76.7%25th
- Penalty kill
- 23rd77.1%
- 49.4%19th
- Faceoffs
- 10th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).