Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins
TV CHSN, NESN·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Blackhawks
to win
64%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.463vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BOS-.223vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.081vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS-.612vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.2927th
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 16.9%29th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 83.6%2nd
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 46.0%31st
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).