Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators
TV MNMT, SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Capitals
to win
55%
Predators
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH.013vs-.0685v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.169vs.017GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors WSH.355vs.1995v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NSHNSH at home
- Back-to-backfavors WSHWSH played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6041% to start175 career GP
Predators
Juuse Saros+0.01 GSAx/6076% to start490 career GP
Justus Annunen+0.03 GSAx/6024% to start80 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · NSH Andrew Brunette
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.1815th
- Goals for / game
- 20th2.95
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 26th3.26
- 17.8%25th
- Power play
- 11th23.1%
- 80.1%14th
- Penalty kill
- 5th81.7%
- 49.3%20th
- Faceoffs
- 15th50.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).