Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets
TV SCRIPPS, TSN3·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Panthers
to win
53%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.492vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA-.014vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG-.046vs.115GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors FLA.494vs.2905v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersPanthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6056% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: FLA Paul Maurice · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0018th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 3.3428th
- Goals against / game
- 21st3.12
- 19.5%19th
- Power play
- 24th18.5%
- 81.0%9th
- Penalty kill
- 21st77.6%
- 46.8%29th
- Faceoffs
- 9th51.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).