Golden Knights at Blues — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Golden Knights at Blues

Vegas Golden Knights(39-26-17)

St. Louis Blues(37-33-12)

Thu, Oct 22, 8:00 PM EDTTV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons

54%

Golden Knights

to win

46%

Blues

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK
.514vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK
.154vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signaleven
-.050vs-.058GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors VGK
1.03vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors STL
STL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Golden Knights

Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/60
52% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/60
48% to start281 career GP

Blues

Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/60
67% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/60
33% to start115 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · STL Jim Montgomery

Leaders

vs

J. Eichel
90
Points
R. Thomas
64
M. Stone
28
Goals
R. Thomas
25
J. Eichel
63
Assists
R. Thomas
39

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2214th
Goals for / game: 24th2.80; 2.9512th
Goals against / game: 19th3.10; 24.6%6th
Power play: 26th17.6%; 81.4%7th
Penalty kill: 25th76.7%; 51.0%12th
Faceoffs: 19th49.4%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 22@this game
Dec 31@
Apr 6@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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