Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, TSN4·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Maple Leafs
to win
61%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.479vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.113vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors TOR.052vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA-.105vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMaple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky-0.01 GSAx/6070% to start923 career GP
Anthony Stolarz+0.20 GSAx/6030% to start176 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: TOR Jim Hiller · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0716th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.6031st
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 21.3%15th
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 81.2%8th
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 54.2%3rd
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).