Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils
TV ESPN+, HULU·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Flyers
to win
57%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.495vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI.009vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.010vs-.001GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PHI.465vs.4185v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
- Back-to-backfavors PHIPHI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6083% to start526 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6017% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).