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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Coghlan's goal at 12:29 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were VGK 28, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (36 saves, .947), 2. Brett Howden (1 G), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Hart36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01021028428
COLCOL010015213238

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:29
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:02

3rd period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.42win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:34
  2. COL
    between-legsxG 0.12win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:53
  3. COL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:39
  4. VGK
    N. Dowd(3)EN
    wristxG 0.74win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:15

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:02COLBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 19:09VGKIvan Barbashev · Holdingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min

2nd

  • 14:16COLRoss Colton · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 19:24VGKBen Hutton · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 16:52VGKShea Theodore · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Coghlan, 2nd 12:29 — VGK 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.1 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
4.03 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK34%66%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
31
23
Blocked shots
11
24
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000+150.07072—27:22
3B. McNabbD000+110.02530—25:42
4R. AnderssonD011+100.63020—23:32
15N. HanifinD000+110.01110—23:29
93M. MarnerR011+220.11100—21:35
71W. KarlssonC000010.101404421:11
9J. EichelC011030.691104719:32
21B. HowdenC101+140.5811010018:11
49I. BarbashevL000-120.10202—16:25
16P. DorofeyevR101-130.38000—14:21
26N. DowdC101+110.744206313:18
22C. SmithR000000.00800—11:56
10C. SissonsC011+110.0152010011:28
48T. HertlC011+110.290008010:45
55K. KolesarR000010.13400—10:02
17B. HuttonD011010.07102—10:01
52D. CoghlanD101+110.10000—08:13
20B. SaadL011+100.00000—08:10
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)38362.9473.14+1.1460:00

Series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).