Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Coghlan's goal at 12:29 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were VGK 28, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (36 saves, .947), 2. Brett Howden (1 G), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Hart36 saves, .947

- ★★B. Howden1 G

- ★★★G. Landeskog1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
1-012:29
2-015:02
3rd period
3-01:34
3-15:53
3-217:39
4-219:15
Penalties
1st
- 9:02
Brent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
- 19:09
Ivan Barbashev · Holdingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min
2nd
- 14:16
Ross Colton · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
- 19:24
Ben Hutton · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
3rd
- 16:52
Shea Theodore · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Coghlan, 2nd 12:29 — 47% → 67%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.03 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.1
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.5
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 34
- Hits
- 31
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 24
- Giveaways
- 9
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
