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Golden Knights at Mammoth
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV TBS, HBO MAX·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was MacKenzie Weegar's goal at 12:59 of the first period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were VGK 32, UTA 12. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 8 of 12 (.667), 2.3 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lawson Crouse (2 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (30 saves, .938), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Crouse2 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    M. Weegar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01311019232
UTAUTA262501412

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:59
  2. UTA
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:45

2nd period

  1. UTA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:06
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:48
  3. VGK
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:20

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.17Video
    2-4
    16:52

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·UTA 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:42UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hart2 min
  • 16:30VGKBrayden McNabb · High stickingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

2nd

  • 17:23UTANate Schmidt · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

3rd

  • 7:45VGKRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 7:45UTAMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 7:45UTAMikhail Sergachev · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:35UTALiam O'Brien · Interferencedrawn by Cole Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalVGK goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: MacKenzie Weegar, 1st 12:59 — UTA 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.25C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.18K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.12D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.10M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.06D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.05D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsUTA
3.92 G
All situations
4 G1.7
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK83%17%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsUTA
32
Shots on goal
12
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
10
42
Hits
41
12
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
24
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. EichelC101-130.323202822:23
93M. MarnerR000020.280107121:39
15N. HanifinD000030.14110—21:29
4R. AnderssonD000-140.15032—20:50
61M. StoneR011-210.16010—19:35
27S. TheodoreD000-110.03020—19:22
48T. HertlC000020.351105719:09
16P. DorofeyevR000030.33000—18:00
49I. BarbashevL011-110.19700—17:17
3B. McNabbD000-210.02112—17:15
10C. SissonsC000020.086005015:24
21B. HowdenC000030.783003314:20
6K. KorczakD000+210.05300—14:03
19R. SmithR011000.23300—13:56
5J. LauzonD000000.16200—13:55
55K. KolesarR000010.17800—13:22
26N. DowdC101030.280008010:28
22C. SmithR011+110.16400—09:21
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)1284.6671.67-2.3356:57

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).