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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 3:13 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 32, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A), 3. Anze Kopitar.

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11118313532
LAKLAK0717011125

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:13

2nd period

  1. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:48
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:43

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.25win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:13
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:01
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.87Video
    5-1
    14:22

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·LAK 26 PIM

1st

  • 5:27COLNicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min
  • 9:34COLNick Blankenburg · Interferencedrawn by Jared Wright2 min
  • 12:57LAKBrian Dumoulin · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 17:58LAKSamuel Helenius · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 17:58LAKJeff Malott · Roughingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 17:58COLJack Drury · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min
  • 17:58LAKSamuel Helenius · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 3:23COLBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 15:36LAKJeff Malott · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 3rd 3:13 — COL 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.25T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.19S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.14A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.11Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.09C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.08J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.08J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.07A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.02A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
3.04 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL53%47%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
32
Shots on goal
25
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
26
21
Hits
50
17
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD101010.08000—23:17
84B. BurnsD000+240.10000—20:54
7D. ToewsD101020.06010—20:50
27B. KulakD011+200.00150—20:28
70S. MalinskiD011+210.10110—20:27
29N. MacKinnonC213+251.312208617:47
62A. LehkonenL011+230.16300—17:06
88M. NecasC011+240.17000016:48
92G. LandeskogL022+210.081205714:58
11B. NelsonC000000.001124414:52
13V. NichushkinR000000.12010—14:38
91N. KadriC011+220.13000013:47
10N. RoyC101+210.321023113:29
18J. DruryC000-130.060124613:28
25L. O'ConnorR000-110.02300—13:10
20R. ColtonC000020.1461010012:45
17P. KellyC000-120.11010012:41
37N. BlankenburgD000000.00212—12:35
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)25241.9601.95+0.9560:00

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).