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Hurricanes at Senators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV TBS, HBO MAX·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 17:29 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 27, OTT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Stankoven (1 G), 2. Frederik Andersen (21 saves, .955), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11011007227
OTTOTT081707122

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(3)
    T. Hall (3), E. Robinson (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:13

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(2)
    N. Cousins (1)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:06
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(1)
    K. Miller (2), T. Hall (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:29

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:46OTTMichael Amadio · High stickingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 10:15OTTDrake Batherson · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 15:29OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 1:29CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 4:24CARTaylor Hall · Illegal check to headdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 9:23CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:55CARJalen Chatfield · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 18:42CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Spence2 min

3rd

  • 8:46OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCAR goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, 2nd 17:29 — CAR 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.46B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.30D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.21D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.03R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.03R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.00C. Crotty · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.0 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsOTT
4.02 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
22
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
45
17
Blocked shots
18
21
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-120.45130—22:33
19K. MillerD011+200.00010—20:11
24S. JarvisR000020.07120—20:06
20S. AhoC000000.182026419:58
5J. ChatfieldD000020.43002—19:58
26S. WalkerD000+130.17630—18:49
37A. SvechnikovR000020.18210—17:36
11J. StaalC000-100.232005317:23
27N. EhlersL000-110.79020—17:06
53J. BlakeR101+130.33110—16:01
4S. GostisbehereD000000.00010—15:43
22L. StankovenC101+240.452004315:10
21A. NikishinD000000.03310—14:57
71T. HallL022+230.12212—14:54
48J. MartinookL000-120.1310210014:37
77M. JankowskiL000010.190008309:38
28W. CarrierL000010.15500—07:47
50E. RobinsonL011+110.05210—07:33
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)22211.9552.03+1.0360:00

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).