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Avalanche at Flames
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV KUSA, ALT·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 15:07 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 5.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were COL 38, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (3 A), 2. Dustin Wolf (35 saves, .946), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL010116212338
CGYCGY06111014131

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(20)
    M. Backlund (26)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:22
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(21)
    C. Makar (56), S. Malinski (32)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:25

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(14)
    B. Kulak (11), C. Makar (57)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:07
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(53)EN
    C. Makar (58), M. Necas (62)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:43

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:32CGYYegor Sharangovich · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 8:49COLParker Kelly · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Gridin2 min

2nd

  • 1:10CGYConnor Zary · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 12:31CGYRory Kerins · Trippingdrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min
  • 13:15CGYserved by V. Olofsson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:14COLJack Ahcan · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCOL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 3rd 15:07 — COL 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.25T. Gross · On goal · xG 0.21V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.21A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.16M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.12M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.12A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.09J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCGY
5.02 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL72%28%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.04 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCGY
38
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
13
8
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD033+240.51000—25:35
88M. NecasC011+251.19100022:36
62A. LehkonenL101030.20010—22:17
27B. KulakD011+100.02110—21:12
29N. MacKinnonC101+241.230003821:08
70S. MalinskiD011+120.03120—20:36
84B. BurnsD000000.00010—20:29
92G. LandeskogL101+250.492009216:57
10N. RoyC000000.060103616:18
13V. NichushkinR000010.09000—15:55
37N. BlankenburgD000030.08100—14:28
15J. AhcanD000020.07002—12:45
18J. DruryC000020.210006012:34
25L. O'ConnorR000040.33010—12:19
20R. ColtonC000000.12200011:48
17P. KellyC000010.080024211:13
94J. KivirantaL000010.15110—09:44
93Z. BardakovC000010.11000008:31
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)31301.9682.64+1.6459:35

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).