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Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV TNT, truTV·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Wennberg's goal at 19:29 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.3, SJS 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 31, SJS 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.6 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (2 G, 2 A), 2. Will Smith (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alexander Wennberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    W. Smith1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Wennberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1131919331
SJSSJS170737421

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    W. Smith(22)PPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:37
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:47

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:59

3rd period

  1. SJS
    W. Smith (31), C. Graf (22)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:27
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:04
  3. SJS
    D. Orlov (29), W. Smith (32)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:21
  4. SJS
    snapxG 0.11win prob +47 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:29

Penalties

ANA 11 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:17SJSTy Dellandrea · High stickingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 3:57ANAAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 7:29SJSMichael Misa · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 9:43SJSDmitry Orlov · Slashingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 14:04ANATim Washe · Trippingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

2nd

  • 16:13SJSVincent Desharnais · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan Gaucher2 min
  • 16:13ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min

3rd

  • 4:47ANAJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk5 min
  • 4:47SJSZack Ostapchuk · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalANA goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Wennberg, 3rd 19:29 — SJS 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.26K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.21M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.19W. Smith · Goal · xG 0.16M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.15T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.14T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.12T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.11C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.11D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.09K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.05W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.03W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Ostapchuk · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Ostapchuk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS4 G · 2.5 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSJS
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA47%53%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
21
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-120.06120—26:13
2J. LaCombeD011+110.01220—23:23
65J. TroubaD000020.02320—21:32
91L. CarlssonC000+150.380203319:48
64M. GranlundC000-110.170004419:30
3I. MooreD000-200.03000—19:24
19T. TerryR101+260.64000—19:21
20C. KreiderL000+140.31000—18:22
17A. KillornL101-120.24002—17:29
25R. PoehlingC101020.140304116:37
42T. WasheC000-100.011025316:35
45B. SenneckeR000020.06110—13:56
28J. VielL000000.02305—13:24
14D. HellesonD022+100.00200—11:54
51O. ZellwegerD000+100.00010—11:44
77F. VatranoR000-110.08212—10:31
23M. McTavishC000020.124006008:44
41N. GaucherC000010.051102907:08
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)21174.8102.45-1.5559:45

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).