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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 12:42 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were CAR 33, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jet Greaves stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kirill Marchenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR211011311533
CBJCBJ0816111225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:29
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:12

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.26win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:14

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.03win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:07
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:42
  3. CAR
    N. Ehlers (40), S. Aho (50)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:55
  4. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.42Video
    5-2
    19:13

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:48CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 12:19CBJDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 14:29CBJKent Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 0:07CBJMason Marchment · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 10:48CARLogan Stankoven · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

3rd

  • 3:31CBJMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 12:42CBJserved by M. Marchment · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 19:01CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 3rd 12:42 — CAR 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.26M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.20K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.19K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.18K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.14M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.13D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.11K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
4.14 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.13 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR56%44%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
3/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+140.10000—20:47
5J. ChatfieldD011+110.22000—20:42
20S. AhoC011030.210108119:29
24S. JarvisR000010.61100—19:00
19K. MillerD000020.04200—18:41
27N. EhlersL123030.06000—18:23
26S. WalkerD000030.13300—17:52
4S. GostisbehereD101-120.25120—17:39
11J. StaalC000+110.283106016:41
37A. SvechnikovR112010.24202—16:29
53J. BlakeR000-130.21022—16:25
21A. NikishinD000-110.03010—15:56
22L. StankovenC101-120.190025515:54
71T. HallL000-100.17010—15:48
48J. MartinookL101+120.61310—15:27
77M. JankowskiL011010.491003311:27
28W. CarrierL000020.211105009:38
50E. RobinsonL000010.01100—09:01
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)25232.9202.99+0.9959:42

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).