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New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars

FinalTV MORE27, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Dallas Stars 6-4. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 16% to 33%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 25, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G), 2. Wyatt Johnston (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD480928625
DALDAL1627114427

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:12
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:16
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.52win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:11
  4. NJD
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:52
  5. NJD
    L. Hughes (27), J. Bratt (39)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:19

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:11
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:31

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-3
    6:46
  2. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    5-4
    13:08
  3. NJD
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.48win prob +7 ptsVideo
    6-4
    19:00

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:46NJDTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 8:01DALMiro Heiskanen · Hookingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

2nd

  • 1:00NJDLenni Hameenaho · Trippingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min
  • 3:13NJDBrenden Dillon · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 9:19DALMiro Heiskanen · Hookingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 16:48DALJason Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min

3rd

  • 11:06NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNJD goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 12:31 — DAL 16% → 33%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.19J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.18W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.17M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.15M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.00E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDAL
3.85 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.85 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD65%35%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
21
22
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011010.05010—21:29
7D. HamiltonD112+120.58122—21:01
13N. HischierC011+240.570005820:05
71J. SiegenthalerD022+200.00200—19:50
86J. HughesC202020.440302019:20
8J. KovacevicD000000.00230—19:12
28T. MeierR101+230.4213210018:33
5B. DillonD000+100.00322—18:32
16C. BrownR101+240.38010—18:08
63J. BrattL112+220.65000—17:09
17S. NemecD011+100.00020—16:57
91D. MercerC011+210.38210016:54
81A. GritsyukR011+210.02100—16:22
12C. GlassC000000.110205316:17
29L. HameenahoR000-120.02012—13:52
47P. CotterL000-100.001004007:11
72N. BjugstadC000010.020105006:33
42M. TsyplakovR000020.19200—06:24
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)27234.8522.27-1.7360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).