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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ESPN, SNW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vasily Podkolzin's goal at 2:34 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were EDM 19, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Adin Hill stopped 15 of 18 (.833). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 2. Mitch Marner (2 A), 3. Connor McDavid (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Marner2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM071438419
VGKVGK0711118226

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    T. Frederic(4)
    E. Bouchard (55), C. Dach (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:21
  2. VGK
    N. Hanifin(3)
    M. Marner (46), I. Barbashev (26)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:09

3rd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(15)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:34
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(34)
    C. McDavid (72)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:53
  3. VGK
    J. Eichel(22)SHG
    M. Marner (47)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:43
  4. EDM
    K. Kapanen(6)EN
    C. McDavid (73), M. Ekholm (28)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:03

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:43EDMMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

2nd

  • 10:45EDMJake Walman · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 14:21VGKColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 11:05EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 11:05VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 15:13VGKShea Theodore · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 20:00EDMJosh Samanski · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Vasily Podkolzin, 3rd 2:34 — EDM 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.12B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.12N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
19
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-110.03202—23:14
5C. MurphyD000010.03230—22:33
2E. BouchardD011+210.11200—21:51
97C. McDavidC022+110.27100021:37
29L. DraisaitlC101020.582005520:59
96J. WalmanD000+210.00142—19:23
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000030.180105619:11
18Z. HymanL000-110.21000—18:33
49T. EmbersonD000-110.01130—16:29
42K. KapanenR101021.06210—15:56
16J. DickinsonC000010.176203615:33
92V. PodkolzinR101+110.34420—15:05
14M. EkholmD011+200.00012—14:12
22M. SavoieC000000.000103313:27
28J. RoslovicC000+110.320007512:14
10T. FredericC101+120.45000010:59
81J. SamanskiC000+100.000125007:39
34C. DachC011+100.22300005:05
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)26242.9232.36+0.3660:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).