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Sabres at Penguins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV ESPN, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 6:18 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 26, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Arturs Silovs stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Owen Power (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (27 saves, .964), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    O. Power1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1731118526
PITPIT16012010128

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(12)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:00
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(21)SHG
    B. Kindel (15)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:48

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Norris(9)PPG
    J. Doan (23), B. Byram (22)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:10
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(25)SHG
    O. Power (15), T. Thompson (32)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:18
  3. BUF
    O. Power(6)
    J. Norris (13), N. Ostlund (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    10:30

3rd period

  1. BUF
    M. Samuelsson(12)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.61Video
    5-1
    16:53

Penalties

BUF 12 PIM·PIT 25 PIM

1st

  • 3:22BUFPeyton Krebs · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:16PITErik Karlsson · Holdingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 10:24BUFserved by J. Quinn · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:04PITNoel Acciari · Holdingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 0:38BUFRasmus Dahlin · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 0:38PITEvgeni Malkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 0:38PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin5 min
  • 0:38PITEvgeni Malkin · Game misconduct10 min
  • 4:10PITserved by E. Chinakhov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 5:25BUFRyan McLeod · Slashingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 14:44BUFBeck Malenstyn · Boardingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

3rd

  • 7:04PITBen Kindel · Holding the stickdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 11:54BUFRasmus Dahlin · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 2nd 6:18 — BUF 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.30R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.17E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.16A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.16C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.14B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.14E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.13B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.12B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.09N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.07R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.07N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
3.64 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.32 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
28
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/6
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
25
20
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD011020.04000—22:32
26R. DahlinD000+140.26104—21:29
23M. SamuelssonD101+310.62030—21:19
25O. PowerD112+310.06110—20:45
72T. ThompsonC011010.1621010018:43
91J. DoanR011030.63000—18:28
71R. McLeodC101+210.390025418:23
9J. NorrisC112020.450005017:41
89A. TuchR101+230.261102517:37
86N. OstlundC011+210.02000016:42
29B. MalenstynL000000.0052210014:25
17J. ZuckerL000-110.3101010014:11
6Z. BensonL000+100.07210—13:22
8M. KesselringD000020.04100—12:58
22J. QuinnR000+120.20000—11:49
73Z. MetsaD000000.00100—11:00
19P. KrebsC000010.014126710:35
44J. DunneC000010.1420010008:37
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)28271.9642.71+1.7159:24

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).