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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 6:07 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 25, CBJ 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Jet Greaves stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (1 G), 2. Charlie Coyle (1 G), 3. Adam Fantilli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Monahan1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Coyle1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    A. Fantilli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1101807225
CBJCBJ1901028327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(17)
    K. Marchenko (29), M. Marchment (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:23
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(27)PPG
    S. Stamkos (17), L. Evangelista (38)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:32

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(22)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:39

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Monahan(12)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:52
  2. CBJ
    C. Coyle(16)
    D. Severson (20), D. Mateychuk (15)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:07

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:26NSHSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 17:43CBJMason Marchment · Hookingdrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min

2nd

  • 5:07NSHLuke Evangelista · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min

3rd

  • 1:33CBJKirill Marchenko · High stickingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 6:07NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 10:03NSHMichael Bunting · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 3rd 6:07 — CBJ 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.27C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.17A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.16C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.13K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.12S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.11K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.10S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.10D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.09K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.07A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.07D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.05K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.05E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.04K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.01M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.01K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
3.32 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.71 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH54%46%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
25
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-310.10020—26:52
76B. SkjeiD000+120.07100—22:46
9F. ForsbergL101-130.65000—22:38
41N. HagueD000000.00210—21:44
56E. HaulaL000-110.200306820:43
77L. EvangelistaR011-120.36002—20:23
48N. PerbixD000030.08010—19:15
90R. O'ReillyC101-140.741105618:36
81J. MarchessaultR000-200.14100—18:28
37N. BlankenburgD000-120.06020—17:53
91S. StamkosC011-220.440124417:34
58M. BuntingL000000.0021210015:36
17T. JostC000010.191201713:20
71M. WoodR000020.100002711:58
20J. BarronD000010.06110—10:10
68Z. L'HeureuxL000010.12110—08:34
89O. WiesblattC000+100.002005007:38
36C. SmithR000000.00000—00:03
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(L)27243.8892.93-0.0757:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).