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Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shakir Mukhamadullin's goal at 9:27 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 24, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.6 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shakir Mukhamadullin (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (3 A), 3. Michael Misa (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    S. Mukhamadullin1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Misa1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM191728424
SJSSJS31401326533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:34
  2. SJS
    M. Misa(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:07
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:51
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:05

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:49

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.13win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:54
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-4
    5:30
  3. EDM
    slapxG 0.06win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-4
    7:13
  4. SJS
    W. Eklund (25), M. Misa (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +31 ptsVideo
    4-5
    9:27

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:51SJSKiefer Sherwood · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Ingram2 min
  • 9:39EDMSpencer Stastney · Hookingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 13:16SJSPhilipp Kurashev · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

2nd

  • 10:10EDMKasperi Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min

3rd

  • 18:48SJSVincent Desharnais · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalEDM goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Shakir Mukhamadullin, 3rd 9:27 — SJS 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.26M. Misa · Goal · xG 0.24M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.21M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.18A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.17B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.17K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.15K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.12K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.11W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.10W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.09C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.07S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mukhamadullin · Goal · xG 0.03C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 3.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSJS
2.64 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM38%62%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSJS
24
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
22
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD123030.40010—23:24
29L. DraisaitlC101050.940005021:47
25D. NurseD000-110.11120—21:37
97C. McDavidC033-230.164005721:34
18Z. HymanL000-210.20000—20:57
96J. WalmanD101-110.06000—20:51
14M. EkholmD011000.00000—18:45
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-220.2611010017:37
24S. StastneyD000010.00002—16:21
49T. EmbersonD000000.00010—15:45
28J. RoslovicC000+110.160102214:44
92V. PodkolzinR000000.00510—14:10
22M. SavoieC011+130.09000013:34
42K. KapanenR000000.09302—13:32
10T. FredericC101+120.145106712:38
19A. HenriqueC000010.030003311:32
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00110—10:20
20C. LazarC000000.004108309:09
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)33285.8483.44-1.5658:15

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).