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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 6-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zemgus Girgensons's goal at 14:08 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.8, TBL 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 34, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.6 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .971), 2. Pontus Holmberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    TBL
    P. Holmberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0190916134
TBLTBL27211210628

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(27)
    V. Hedman (13)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:08
  2. TBL
    Z. Girgensons(7)
    P. Holmberg (8), Y. Gourde (15)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:08

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(26)PPG
    D. Raddysh (35), N. Kucherov (62)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:14
  2. TBL
    E. Cernak(1)
    R. McDonagh (6), D. James (8)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:50

3rd period

  1. TBL
    P. Holmberg(9)
    G. Goncalves (11), O. Bjorkstrand (17)
    pokexG 0.13Video
    0-5
    6:09
  2. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(6)PPG
    J. Boqvist (5), A. Lundell (24)
    snapxG 0.06Video
    1-5
    9:50
  3. TBL
    O. Bjorkstrand(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12Video
    1-6
    15:41

Penalties

FLA 76 PIM·TBL 91 PIM

1st

  • 15:14TBLNikita Kucherov · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 15:50TBLZemgus Girgensons · Trippingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 18:58TBLDominic James · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 18:58FLAMackie Samoskevich · Roughingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min
  • 18:58TBLGage Goncalves · Roughingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 18:58FLAJesper Boqvist · Roughingdrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 20:00FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Abuse of officials2 min

2nd

  • 10:48FLAAnton Lundell · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 14:20TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 16:06FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 16:06TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 16:06FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 16:06TBLVictor Hedman · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 4:06FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 4:06FLANiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 4:06FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Hagel5 min
  • 4:06FLAGustav Forsling · Fightingdrawn by J.J. Moser5 min
  • 4:06TBLJ.J. Moser · Fightingdrawn by Gustav Forsling5 min
  • 4:06TBLBrandon Hagel · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 4:06FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Game misconduct10 min
  • 4:06TBLJ.J. Moser · Game misconduct10 min
  • 4:06FLADonovan Sebrango · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:06FLAGustav Forsling · Game misconduct10 min
  • 4:06FLASam Bennett · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:06TBLJake Guentzel · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:06TBLNikita Kucherov · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:06FLABench · Game misconduct head coach0 min
  • 4:06TBLYanni Gourde · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:06TBLDarren Raddysh · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:06FLACarter Verhaeghe · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:33TBLCurtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Niko Mikkola5 min
  • 6:33TBLCurtis Douglas · Aggressor10 min
  • 16:05TBLDeclan Carlile · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikulas Hovorka2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Zemgus Girgensons, 1st 14:08 — TBL 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. James · Missed · xG 0.40J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.32P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.23G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.15P. Holmberg · Goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cernak · Goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 2.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
2.81 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.90 G
Even strength
5 G1.3
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA56%44%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
34
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/6
Power play
1/4
76
Penalty minutes
91
17
Hits
34
5
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26U. BalinskisD000-150.30120—25:58
2J. PetryD000-320.02000—22:05
13S. ReinhartC000-200.00100020:49
15A. LundellC011-120.200027020:47
77N. MikkolaD000-120.04012—20:45
42G. ForslingD000-240.170015—18:42
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.00100017:10
9S. BennettC000-230.4710124316:02
79C. SchwindtR000-100.001004415:18
11M. SamoskevichR101070.43102—15:01
95S. VilmanisL000-100.03100—14:57
19M. TkachukL000-130.352021—13:40
10A. GreerL000-210.19100—13:36
6D. SebrangoD000-120.021110—12:25
71L. KuninC000-110.173106412:13
23C. VerhaegheC000-120.141010011:38
96M. HovorkaD000-300.00000—11:27
70J. BoqvistC011-100.23202010:23
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)25205.8002.40-2.6045:59
72S. Bobrovsky321.6670.16-0.8413:51

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).