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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ABC, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 6-5. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 6:05 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 20, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.0 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Noel Acciari (2 G), 2. Anthony Mantha (2 G), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    N. Acciari2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    A. Mantha2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR091249520
PITPIT211110313634

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:37
  2. PIT
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:05

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell (14), E. Malkin (29)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:59
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:28

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:20
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    1:40
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.25win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    9:12
  4. NYR
    slapxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    15:15
  5. PIT
    B. Kindel(12)EN
    wristxG 0.66win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    17:28
  6. NYR
    4-6
    18:53
  7. NYR
    wristxG 0.30win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-6
    19:49

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:10PITRutger McGroarty · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 17:40NYRScott Morrow · Hookingdrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min

2nd

  • 3:19NYRMatthew Robertson · Interferencedrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
  • 10:56NYRJonny Brodzinski · High stickingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 17:09NYRSam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 17:09PITAnthony Mantha · Slashingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 18:15PITserved by E. Malkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 20:00NYRWill Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

3rd

  • 4:37PITIlya Solovyov · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min
  • 8:24NYRWill Borgen · Roughingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Noel Acciari, 1st 6:05 — PIT 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Kindel · Goal · xG 0.66A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.42C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.32B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.22R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.14A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.12N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.12B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.08B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.08E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. McGroarty · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 5.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
2.35 G
All situations
5 G5.0
1.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR24%76%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
20
Shots on goal
34
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC011-100.101204722:47
29M. RobertsonD011-100.00122—22:41
16V. TrocheckC123+310.333006522:40
44V. GavrikovD112+210.09110—22:29
8J. MillerC011-120.422008322:09
4B. SchneiderD011+210.04110—20:24
17W. BorgenD000-110.01122—20:24
50W. CuylleL101+130.42512—20:02
13A. LafrenièreL213+140.25100—17:59
94G. PerreaultR000-120.32000—14:58
60S. MorrowD000-210.01012—14:49
39S. CarrickC000-210.001025014:34
18U. VaakanainenD000-220.02000—13:38
14T. RaddyshR000000.2210010011:09
22J. BrodzinskiC011-100.00102009:37
78B. OthmannL000-110.05300—09:16
73M. RempeC000-100.00400007:46
42N. LabaC000-100.0000010002:34
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)33285.8484.03-0.9758:44

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).