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Ducks at Oilers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
4
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 7-4. The Ducks scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Ekholm's goal at 6:28 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were ANA 41, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Ekholm (3 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (3 G), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. Granlund3 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA112213116441
EDMEDM11241525732

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    M. Granlund(10)PPG
    C. Kreider (11), C. Gauthier (24)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:24
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(21)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (30), L. Draisaitl (46)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:14

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Killorn(6)
    R. Poehling (15), J. Trouba (14)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:55
  2. EDM
    S. Stastney(2)
    T. Emberson (9), L. Draisaitl (47)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:36
  3. EDM
    M. Ekholm(4)
    Z. Hyman (14), C. McDavid (59)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:28
  4. EDM
    D. Nurse(7)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:34
  5. EDM
    M. Ekholm(5)
    M. Savoie (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-5
    8:25
  6. ANA
    M. Granlund(11)PPG
    B. Sennecke (24)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:41

3rd period

  1. ANA
    M. Granlund(12)PPG
    B. Sennecke (25), J. LaCombe (28)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-5
    13:38
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(33)EN
    L. Draisaitl (48), E. Bouchard (42)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:12
  3. EDM
    M. Ekholm(6)EN
    L. Draisaitl (49)
    wristxG 0.49Video
    4-7
    19:49

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:39EDMJack Roslovic · Hookingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 5:37ANAJansen Harkins · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 14:58ANARyan Strome · High sticking double minordrawn by Darnell Nurse4 min
  • 18:25EDMMatt Savoie · High stickingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

2nd

  • 3:18ANAJacob Trouba · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Connor McDavid0 min
  • 12:08EDMTy Emberson · Hookingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

3rd

  • 11:43EDMMatt Savoie · Trippingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Mattias Ekholm, 2nd 6:28 — EDM 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.86M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.49Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.28C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.24L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.20M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.12D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.11M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.08D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.08J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.07T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.07M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stastney · Goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 4.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
3.54 G
All situations
5 G4.8
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
1.23 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
41
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011-210.05430—26:16
45B. SenneckeR022-470.64100—25:31
64M. GranlundC303-250.820104224:17
65J. TroubaD011080.16130—22:49
17A. KillornL101-210.190005019:18
25R. PoehlingC011-210.052205718:53
98P. MintyukovD000-110.02020—18:45
61C. GauthierL011-450.49100—17:55
20C. KreiderL011-240.54000—17:18
51O. ZellwegerD000-230.08000—15:09
7R. GudasD000-200.00320—14:59
14D. HellesonD000-100.00300—14:56
74I. MooreD000020.16100—12:53
28J. VielL000-100.04200—12:47
24J. HarkinsC000-120.091025511:26
42T. WasheC000010.083006410:34
44R. JohnstonL000-100.0031010009:39
16R. StromeC000000.06014004:42
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso(L)30255.8333.41-1.5957:37

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).