Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Islanders 5-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 19:47 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were BUF 21, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Lyon (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Jason Zucker (2 G), 3. Tage Thompson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Lyon26 saves, 1.000

- ★★J. Zucker2 G

- ★★★T. Thompson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-00:33
2-019:47
3rd period
3-00:25
4-014:02
5-014:38
Penalties
1st
- 11:17
Alex Lyon · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
2nd
- 1:18
Anders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Konsta Helenius2 min
- 11:46
Matthew Schaefer · Hookingdrawn by Noah Ostlund2 min
- 14:57
Mattias Samuelsson · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
3rd
- 15:24
Michael Kesselring · Cross checkingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
- 17:53
Zach Benson · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
- 17:53
Scott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tage Thompson, 2nd 19:47 — 71% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.84 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.5
- 2.34 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.6
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.49
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 26%
- Faceoffs
- 74%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 24
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 14
- Giveaways
- 16
- 7
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
BUF leads 3-0
2@
3SOFinal
5@
0this game
3@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).


































