Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nate Schmidt's goal at 14:30 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 5.5 to 3.4; shots on goal were SEA 21, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 21 (.857). Three stars: 1. Nate Schmidt (2 G, 2 A), 2. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Schmidt2 G, 2 A

- ★★L. Crouse1 G, 2 A

- ★★★N. Schmaltz1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-01:09
1-12:47
2nd period
1-20:28
1-34:31
2-315:11
3-317:43
3rd period
3-414:30
3-515:12
3-619:09
Penalties
1st
- 2:36
Brandon Tanev · Hookingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min
- 2:59
Jack McBain · Cross checkingdrawn by Shane Wright2 min
2nd
- 9:58
Dylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
- 12:30
Jordan Eberle · Interferencedrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
3rd
- 6:08
Adam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nate Schmidt, 3rd 14:30 — 52% → 89%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.43 G
- All situations
- 5 G5.5
- 2.73 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.9
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 3.60
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 13
- Hits
- 25
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 14
- Giveaways
- 17
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
