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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

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Florida Panthers
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸9
FinalTV FDSNSO, SCRIPPS·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 9-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 13:10 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were FLA 16, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 36 (.750), 5.1 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (3 G, 1 A), 2. Alexander Nikishin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Jankowski (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Nikishin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Jankowski1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA031508116
CARCAR112211613936

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(12)
    J. Staal (10), J. Martinook (8)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:35

2nd period

  1. FLA
    U. Balinskis(2)
    M. Samoskevich (15), S. Vilmanis (1)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:19
  2. CAR
    M. Jankowski(4)
    A. Nikishin (14), M. Reilly (6)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:10
  3. CAR
    A. Nikishin(6)PPG
    S. Aho (29), N. Ehlers (24)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:28

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(13)PPG
    S. Jarvis (13), S. Aho (30)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:08
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers(13)PPG
    S. Jarvis (14), A. Svechnikov (24)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    11:17
  3. CAR
    T. Hall(10)PPG
    L. Stankoven (13), M. Jankowski (5)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    1-6
    11:38
  4. CAR
    N. Ehlers(14)
    L. Stankoven (14), J. Blake (13)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    1-7
    13:03
  5. CAR
    T. Hall(11)
    J. Blake (14)
    snapxG 0.26Video
    1-8
    18:23
  6. CAR
    E. Robinson(10)
    J. Kotkaniemi (5), M. Jankowski (6)
    snapxG 0.11Video
    1-9
    18:35

Penalties

FLA 29 PIM·CAR 19 PIM

2nd

  • 7:49CARserved by J. Blake · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:38FLADonovan Sebrango · Roughingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 15:38FLADonovan Sebrango · Fightingdrawn by Sean Walker5 min
  • 15:38CARSean Walker · Fightingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango5 min
  • 20:00CARJalen Chatfield · Slashingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 20:00FLAMackie Samoskevich · Cross checkingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 20:00FLASam Bennett · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 1:19CARMike Reilly · Interferencedrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 2:05FLAAnton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 3:23FLASam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 4:19CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Sandis Vilmanis2 min
  • 8:42CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 10:11FLAserved by Sandis Vilmanis · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 10:26FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 11:00FLALuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 11:00CARAlexander Nikishin · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 13:51CARMike Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 13:10 — CAR 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.41T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.25N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.25N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.20T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.20N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · Goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR9 G · 3.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
1.61 G
All situations
9 G3.9
0.91 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
0.70 G
Power play
4 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA14%86%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
16
Shots on goal
36
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/5
Power play
4/5
29
Penalty minutes
19
19
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-120.03002—22:22
26U. BalinskisD101-120.11010—21:31
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.09010021:04
13S. ReinhartC000000.27102020:24
5A. EkbladD000-110.03100—20:21
77N. MikkolaD000-110.06230—20:16
15A. LundellC000-100.052023819:36
2J. PetryD000-200.00020—16:41
11M. SamoskevichR011-230.15212—16:36
9S. BennettC000-220.1610104516:31
27E. LuostarinenC000020.38310016:12
17E. RodriguesC000-110.150102914:08
95S. VilmanisL011-210.06110—13:42
10A. GreerL000-200.00210—13:11
6D. SebrangoD000-200.02107—12:31
71L. KuninC000000.001124209:26
70J. BoqvistC000000.00100009:12
79C. SchwindtR000000.00100—08:23
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)36279.7503.92-5.0860:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).