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Maple Leafs at Golden Knights
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
5
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
Final/OTTV ESPN, TSN4·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-5 in overtime, Jack Eichel scoring at 2:44. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Maple Leafs led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Eichel's goal at 2:44 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were TOR 28, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 2.6 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (1 G, 3 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mitch Marner (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Marner2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR315171600528
VGKVGK1101931311633

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(6)
    W. Nylander (31), J. Tavares (25)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:05
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(17)
    M. Maccelli (11), B. Carlo (4)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:03
  3. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(18)PPG
    M. Marner (37), J. Eichel (36)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:12
  4. TOR
    A. Matthews(23)
    J. McCabe (14), T. Stecher (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:57

2nd period

  1. VGK
    K. Kolesar(2)
    B. Bowman (10), N. Hanifin (17)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:51
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(17)PPG
    M. Maccelli (12), M. Knies (27)
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:46

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(19)PPG
    M. Marner (38), T. Hertl (22)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:10
  2. TOR
    S. Laughton(6)
    M. Knies (28), S. Lorentz (9)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-3
    8:58
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(17)
    I. Barbashev (21), J. Eichel (37)
    deflectedxG 0.37win prob +14 ptsVideo
    5-4
    10:14
  4. VGK
    T. Hertl(19)
    J. Eichel (38), M. Stone (28)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +46 ptsVideo
    5-5
    19:53

Overtime

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(17)
    M. Stone (29)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    2:44

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:36TORJake McCabe · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 0:48TORJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 11:36VGKTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min

3rd

  • 2:03TOREaston Cowan · High stickingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalTOR goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Eichel, OT 2:44 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.41M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.37J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.34I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.19R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.17M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.12J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 3.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVGK
2.55 G
All situations
6 G3.4
2.24 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR35%65%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
33
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
15
18
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
34A. MatthewsC101-320.481007423:35
22J. McCabeD011-210.02024—23:06
28T. StecherD011000.03230—21:42
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000+120.05100—21:10
74B. McMannC000-130.26310020:41
23M. KniesL022010.02110—20:07
25B. CarloD011+100.00120—19:50
44M. RiellyD101020.27110—19:27
91J. TavaresC112+110.251005618:25
11M. DomiC000-110.000103318:13
51P. MyersD000+150.10110—16:48
63M. MaccelliL022+140.13000—16:29
55N. RoyC000010.010106414:37
24S. LaughtonC101+120.371105413:26
89N. RobertsonL000010.3210010012:18
53E. CowanR000-100.03202—11:29
18S. LorentzC011+210.02100010:49
88W. NylanderR112+210.11000—02:17
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(O)33276.8183.43-2.5762:44

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).