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Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWIX·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 6-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 19:49 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 29, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Jesper Wallstedt stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 3 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (32 saves, .941), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG31031009629
MINMIN011113110234

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    J. Toews(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.61win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:08
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:49
  3. WPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    19:57

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:53
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:33
  3. WPG
    G. Vilardi(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.32win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    12:51
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-1
    17:12

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.18Video
    6-2
    17:18

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:43MINMatt Boldy · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 13:15MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 2:23WPGLuke Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 7:30MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 11:05MINNico Sturm · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 15:03WPGAlex Iafallo · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 4:27WPGLogan Stanley · Hookingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 1st 19:49 — WPG 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.19M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.18M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.12D. Yurov · Goal · xG 0.12M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
2.76 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.32 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG55%45%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD112+220.14010—22:13
2D. DeMeloD011010.04220—19:49
55M. ScheifeleC134+220.290004518:55
57E. SalomonssonD000+120.02010—18:45
81K. ConnorL011+220.30000—18:38
54D. SambergD000020.04120—18:36
64L. StanleyD101020.10002—18:04
9A. IafalloL011+300.1301210016:47
5L. SchennD000-110.04642—16:44
13G. VilardiC112-130.4300010016:06
19J. ToewsC112010.610004415:45
36M. BarronC011+140.082005314:54
70T. PearsonL101+120.14100—13:51
17A. LowryC000-100.000004413:50
62N. NiederreiterR000000.00000—13:16
91C. PerfettiC000030.16010012:46
7V. NamestnikovC000000.002006712:40
45C. KoepkeL000+120.16500—12:39
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)34322.9412.30+0.3059:42

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).