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Capitals at Predators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, MNMT·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The Capitals scored first; the Predators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Smith's goal at 1:12 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 32, NSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G, 2 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cole Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11109112232
NSHNSH180627321

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(20)PPG
    J. Carlson (26), R. Leonard (19)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:56
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(19)PPG
    F. Forsberg (16), R. Josi (14)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:15

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(5)
    R. Josi (15), R. Schaefer (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:12
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(6)PPG
    S. Stamkos (11), R. O'Reilly (25)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:29
  3. WSH
    E. Frank(8)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (20), D. Strome (24)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:03

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:15NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 5:31NSHMichael McCarron · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:03WSHBrandon Duhaime · Holdingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min
  • 15:09NSHErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 16:29WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Interferencedrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min

2nd

  • 0:56NSHNick Perbix · Hookingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 5:51WSHAliaksei Protas · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 18:29WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

3rd

  • 1:52WSHHendrix Lapierre · Holdingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 2:44WSHJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:18NSHAdam Wilsby · Trippingdrawn by Ethen Frank2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWSH goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Smith, 3rd 1:12 — NSH 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.17L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.16M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.13C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.11M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.07M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.07M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.07M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.04A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.04R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.03M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.03M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNSH
2.52 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
1.12 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH56%44%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
21
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/5
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
16
5
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011040.11012—26:43
3M. RoyD000-120.06200—22:31
42M. FehérváryD000-100.01100—22:20
17D. StromeC011-110.200005921:53
21A. ProtasL000-130.22002—20:26
8A. OvechkinL112020.20102—19:26
72A. BeauvillierR000-140.401026719:23
24C. McMichaelL000030.211105818:38
26N. DowdC000010.204105018:16
53E. FrankR101060.66100—18:06
38R. SandinD000020.10110—17:20
9R. LeonardR011010.03300—17:18
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.03000—11:35
47D. ChisholmD000000.02210—11:11
20B. LeasonR000000.02200—09:30
34J. SourdifC000010.00100006:17
22B. DuhaimeL000010.00002—05:46
29H. LapierreC000000.001025005:23
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)21183.8572.19-0.8158:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).