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Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, SNP·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 10:10 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 24, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (2 G), 2. Axel Sandin-Pellikka (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Compher (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Sandin-Pellikka1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Compher1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01014010124
DETDET1102827525

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:31

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:09
  2. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:03
  3. DET
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:10

3rd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(8)EN
    A. Copp (18)
    wristxG 0.82win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:07
  2. DET
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.24Video
    1-5
    18:10

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:19DETSimon Edvinsson · Holdingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 13:13VANMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 17:47VANZeev Buium · High stickingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 17:56VANDavid Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 5:46DETMason Appleton · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalVAN goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 10:10 — DET 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.82L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.24J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.20D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.20D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.16J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.15M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.13E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.12A. Sandin-Pellikka · Goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.08J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.00M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.00L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDET
1.91 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN36%64%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDET
24
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
27
17
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24Z. BuiumD000-330.03002—23:38
17F. HronekD000010.01100—23:16
29M. PetterssonD000-120.05132—19:31
57T. MyersD000-110.06310—19:18
44K. SherwoodL011-240.30400—18:31
5T. WillanderD000-200.00120—17:37
6B. BoeserR011010.16100—16:50
74J. DeBruskL101-230.32110—16:29
40E. PetterssonC000-220.200004116:14
91E. KaneL000-200.00310—15:27
18D. O'ConnorL000030.1600010015:13
64D. KampfC000-100.002324315:01
25E. PetterssonD000-100.01210—14:44
92L. OhgrenL000-120.100105013:39
63M. SassonC000-100.000007513:17
94L. KarlssonC000-210.33000013:12
54A. RätyC000000.0840010013:08
21N. HoglanderL000010.11110—10:32
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)24204.8332.67-1.3358:39

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).