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Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV Victory+, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Ducks scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam York's goal at 1:15 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 18, PHI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 34 of 38 (.895); Dan Vladar stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (2 G), 2. Cam York (1 G, 1 A), 3. Noah Cates (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Zegras2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. York1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    N. Cates2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA150518218
PHIPHI21321818539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. LaCombe (19), T. Terry (28)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:15
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:22
  3. PHI
    T. Zegras(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:23

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:15
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    14:40

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry (29), J. LaCombe (20)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    1:25
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.63win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    18:46

Penalties

ANA 39 PIM·PHI 26 PIM

1st

  • 2:38PHINoah Cates · Instigatordrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 2:38ANAJansen Harkins · Fightingdrawn by Noah Cates5 min
  • 2:38PHINoah Cates · Fightingdrawn by Jansen Harkins5 min
  • 2:38PHINoah Cates · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 4:21PHITrevor Zegras · High stickingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 8:09ANATroy Terry · High stickingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 12:49ANAserved by J. Harkins · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:08ANABeckett Sennecke · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

2nd

  • 2:39ANARoss Johnston · Interferencedrawn by Jamie Drysdale5 min
  • 2:39ANARoss Johnston · Game misconduct10 min
  • 9:23ANALeo Carlsson · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 0:09PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 7:51PHIGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 7:51ANARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 8:14ANAJacob Trouba · Elbowingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
  • 9:29ANAChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 15:46ANARadko Gudas · Elbowingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalANA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Cam York, 2nd 1:15 — PHI 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Grebenkin · Goal · xG 0.63N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.27C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.22S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.17N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.17T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.16T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.13O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.13C. York · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.12G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09C. York · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.07R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.04N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.03C. York · Goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 4.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPHI
1.82 G
All situations
4 G4.4
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.62 G
Power play
1 G2.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA21%79%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPHI
18
Shots on goal
39
37%
Faceoffs
63%
2/3
Power play
1/8
39
Penalty minutes
26
19
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98P. MintyukovD000-210.09020—23:26
64M. GranlundC000-100.061202722:01
65J. TroubaD000-220.01022—19:51
20C. KreiderL000-220.45102—19:40
2J. LaCombeD022-210.02210—19:15
91L. CarlssonC000010.070023818:02
45B. SenneckeR000-320.14102—17:33
7R. GudasD000-110.03517—17:29
25R. PoehlingC000010.081103316:36
19T. TerryR022-210.10002—16:15
51O. ZellwegerD000000.05100—15:31
23M. McTavishC000-310.130004415:25
17A. KillornL101020.23110—15:02
61C. GauthierL101-230.350005014:33
14D. HellesonD000000.00130—13:57
74I. MooreD000-100.01010—08:10
24J. HarkinsC000000.0031510005:44
44R. JohnstonL000000.002015—03:36
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)38344.8953.76-0.2459:20

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).