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Avalanche at Panthers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV ALT, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aaron Ekblad's goal at 18:12 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 28, FLA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Daniil Tarasov stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Daniil Tarasov (27 saves, .964), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    D. Tarasov27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11101205128
FLAFLA1141506225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(14)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:27
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(15)
    J. Manson (13), B. Nelson (15)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:51

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(3)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.06win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:12

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:04FLAUvis Balinskis · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 15:44COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 18:49COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

2nd

  • 3:22FLAMackie Samoskevich · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 8:48FLAJeff Petry · High stickingdrawn by Zakhar Bardakov2 min
  • 13:52FLAEvan Rodrigues · Cross checkingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

3rd

  • 6:46COLSamuel Girard · Slashingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCOL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aaron Ekblad, 2nd 18:12 — FLA 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.23S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.15M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.14E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.11U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.11M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsFLA
2.71 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL57%43%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
9
19
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000-120.19110—29:07
11B. NelsonC011040.541105225:15
13V. NichushkinR000030.76300—23:28
29N. MacKinnonC000-150.351005023:12
88M. NecasC000-100.00000022:26
84B. BurnsD000020.11000—20:57
49S. GirardD000000.00002—20:05
62A. LehkonenL101-120.06000—18:34
42J. MansonD011020.09112—16:22
70S. MalinskiD000-100.02020—14:23
18J. DruryC000020.160107513:34
17P. KellyC000010.052102512:49
95V. OlofssonL000010.06000—12:34
20R. ColtonC000000.00100012:13
28I. SolovyovD000010.01010—09:40
54G. BrindleyC000020.1710010009:31
93Z. BardakovC000000.06300006:40
92G. LandeskogL000010.051025005:58
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)25232.9202.32+0.3257:12

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).