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Montréal Canadiens at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV Victory+, TSN2·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Dallas Stars 4-3 in overtime, Lane Hutson scoring at 3:40. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lane Hutson's goal at 3:40 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.5, DAL 3.7; shots on goal were MTL 28, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 28 (.857). Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A), 2. Wyatt Johnston (2 G), 3. Oliver Kapanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    O. Kapanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL162130514428
DALDAL18181902327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:42
  2. DAL
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:53

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.24win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:14
  2. MTL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:59
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki (32), L. Hutson (35)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:39

3rd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.41win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:07

Overtime

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:40

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:18MTLIvan Demidov · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 19:33DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min

2nd

  • 1:36DALIlya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 8:13MTLserved by Z. Bolduc · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:00DALEsa Lindell · Slashingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 18:10DALSam Steel · Slashingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min

3rd

  • 14:49MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 16:00DALWyatt Johnston · Hookingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Lane Hutson, OT 3:40 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.41W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.25W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.24M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.21M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.19S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.18J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.15R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.15W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.13O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.12T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDAL
3.54 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G3.4
1.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL46%54%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
30
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD112+210.17200—27:58
8M. MathesonD000-300.09220—26:38
14N. SuzukiC011-131.081002123:49
53N. DobsonD000-230.04360—23:08
45A. CarrierD011000.00000—22:14
20J. SlafkovskýL112+140.51100—20:21
13C. CaufieldR000-110.35100—18:33
93I. DemidovR011+220.08002—18:10
91O. KapanenC101030.310303017:24
24P. DanaultC022+120.030126716:40
11B. GallagherR101040.46210—15:46
85A. TexierL000-110.071005015:45
90J. VelenoC000-200.004005014:41
76Z. BolducR000030.30100—11:06
72A. XhekajD000+110.01200—09:14
27S. BlaisL000000.00600—08:20
47J. StrubleD000+100.00300—07:56
62O. BeckC000000.041005007:17
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)27243.8893.69+0.6963:40

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).