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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV FDSNMW, KMOV-TV·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 18:27 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 25, STL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.7 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexey Toropchenko (1 G, 1 A), 2. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Toropchenko1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1611415325
STLSTL142718419

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    K. Kolesar(1)
    C. Sissons (3), K. Korczak (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:12
  2. STL
    A. Toropchenko(2)
    M. Joseph (7), O. Sundqvist (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:39

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(11)
    P. Buchnevich (15), T. Tucker (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:39
  2. STL
    O. Sundqvist(2)
    A. Toropchenko (2), M. Joseph (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:37
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(11)
    B. Howden (5)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:10

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(16)
    B. Bowman (9)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:21
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(9)
    J. Snuggerud (7), P. Buchnevich (16)
    deflectedxG 0.31win prob +45 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:27

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:35STLJordan Kyrou · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 3:44VGKNoah Hanifin · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Jordan Kyrou0 min
  • 7:09STLJustin Faulk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:11VGKBen Hutton · Trippingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 19:38VGKMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 3rd 18:27 — STL 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hofer · Missed · xG 0.46B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.31J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.31O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.18P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.17A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.16D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.16J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.10J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.08P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.06O. Stenberg · Missed · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01O. Stenberg · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
2.03 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.53 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
19
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD000-120.03210—26:17
2Z. WhitecloudD000010.06020—22:29
6K. KorczakD011+130.03210—20:33
5J. LauzonD000+210.05520—19:37
9J. EichelC000-230.092204619:34
93M. MarnerR000030.090326019:01
61M. StoneR101020.32010—17:55
16P. DorofeyevR101020.30000—17:12
48T. HertlC000010.363003817:06
49I. BarbashevL000-110.01000—15:08
42B. BowmanR011010.26010—14:27
21B. HowdenC011010.100005014:01
10C. SissonsC011000.002005013:39
20B. SaadL000010.01010—13:23
19R. SmithR000-110.14000—12:23
55K. KolesarR101+110.07400—12:00
17B. HuttonD000-210.04002—11:56
88J. MegnaD000-200.00100—10:43
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)19154.7892.28-1.7258:36

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).