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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸7
Carolina Hurricanes
5
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN2·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Carolina Hurricanes 7-5. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 16:46 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were MTL 23, CAR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.2 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 3 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL2531127723
CARCAR3101817525

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(14)
    A. Texier (5), S. Blais (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:10
  2. MTL
    O. Kapanen(12)
    I. Demidov (24), J. Slafkovský (16)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:06
  3. CAR
    N. Ehlers(9)PPG
    A. Nikishin (11), S. Aho (22)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:47
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(15)
    J. Nystrom (8), A. Svechnikov (18)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:19
  5. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(11)
    S. Aho (23), N. Ehlers (19)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:51

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Nikishin(5)PPG
    S. Aho (24), A. Svechnikov (19)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    0:54
  2. MTL
    S. Blais(3)
    L. Hutson (34), B. Gallagher (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    5:01
  3. MTL
    C. Caufield(20)
    A. Texier (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    4-4
    16:23
  4. MTL
    J. Anderson(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +22 ptsVideo
    5-4
    16:46

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(14)
    J. Struble (6), I. Demidov (25)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    6-4
    11:20
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(16)
    N. Ehlers (20), K. Miller (13)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +8 ptsVideo
    6-5
    16:58
  3. MTL
    L. Hutson(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51win prob +9 ptsVideo
    7-5
    18:00

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:58MTLAlexandre Texier · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 0:45MTLLane Hutson · Holdingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 1:47MTLArber Xhekaj · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 10:12CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, 2nd 16:46 — MTL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.27J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.23A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.18A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · Goal · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.02J. Nystrom · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 2.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
3.26 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.46 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53N. DobsonD000010.02010—24:49
48L. HutsonD112+320.58012—24:33
45A. CarrierD000010.00010—23:08
47J. StrubleD011+200.00100—19:17
14N. SuzukiC101+330.183003919:08
20J. SlafkovskýL112+120.12350—19:06
91O. KapanenC101010.241303718:07
13C. CaufieldR101+130.76000—15:57
24P. DanaultC000010.010006415:45
85A. TexierL022+220.13002—15:08
93I. DemidovR022+220.43000—14:25
11B. GallagherR011+110.10200—14:21
90J. VelenoC000+100.172005014:11
72A. XhekajD000+100.00612—13:54
42A. EngstromD000+210.00020—13:04
76Z. BolducR000000.0611010012:28
27S. BlaisL112+120.22700—10:05
17J. AndersonR101010.16000—09:36
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)25205.8002.81-2.1960:00

Season series

MTL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).