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Mammoth at Islanders
NHL

Utah Mammoth at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸7
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV NHLN, Utah16·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New York Islanders 7-2. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 10:20 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were UTA 21, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 20 of 22 (.909); David Rittich stopped 9 of 14 (.643), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Schmaltz (2 G, 1 A), 3. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    M. Sergachev1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0536410721
NYINYI0111813222

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(18)
    B. Hayton (6), M. Sergachev (22)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:36
  2. NYI
    C. Ritchie(6)
    M. Shabanov (9), M. Warren (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:35
  3. UTA
    D. Guenther(19)
    L. Crouse (8), B. Hayton (7)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:20
  4. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:19

3rd period

  1. UTA
    M. Sergachev(6)PPG
    C. Keller (22), D. Guenther (16)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:52
  2. UTA
    C. Keller(13)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (22), M. Sergachev (23)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    5:41
  3. NYI
    M. Schaefer(10)PPG
    J. Drouin (14), M. Shabanov (10)
    snapxG 0.07Video
    5-2
    11:48
  4. UTA
    D. Guenther(20)
    L. Crouse (9), S. Durzi (9)
    wristxG 0.10Video
    6-2
    13:54
  5. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(14)
    J. Peterka (14), C. Keller (23)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    7-2
    16:55

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:17UTAJack McBain · Interferencedrawn by Marshall Warren2 min
  • 13:50NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by Daniil But2 min

2nd

  • 5:34UTAClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 12:39NYIMatthew Schaefer · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 17:26UTAAlexander Kerfoot · High sticking double minordrawn by Calum Ritchie4 min

3rd

  • 1:17NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 5:02NYIserved by M. Barzal · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:41UTAIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 17:23NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalUTA goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 2nd 10:20 — UTA 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.17M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.15S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.12C. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.12C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.12K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Shabanov · Missed · xG 0.05E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.03M. Warren · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Warren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsNYI
2.67 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.55 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.02 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA58%42%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
13
18
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD123020.16000—20:36
50S. DurziD011+120.12030—20:21
28I. ColeD000+120.11122—19:30
88N. SchmidtD000+200.03010—18:54
8N. SchmaltzC213+240.510005818:07
6J. MarinoD000+300.01000—17:41
67L. CrouseL022+300.030205016:45
9C. KellerR123+230.50102—16:32
57N. DeSimoneD000+100.02110—15:46
82K. StenlundC000-100.020205015:40
77J. PeterkaR011+200.22110—15:29
27B. HaytonC022+310.050105615:26
11D. GuentherR314+330.44000—15:23
19D. ButL000000.07010—14:27
53M. CarconeL000010.09200—13:18
22J. McBainC000000.007023312:58
15A. KerfootC000-120.150046012:56
38L. O'BrienC000-110.08300011:04
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)22202.9092.20+0.2060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).