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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, MSG·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 7:33 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 25, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.9 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie Lindgren (22 saves, .880), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren22 saves, .880
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1511119325
WSHWSH1721139627

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    R. Leonard (14), M. Roy (10)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:27
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin (26), A. Fox (24)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:20

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.22win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:33
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:12
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:17

3rd period

  1. WSH
    R. Sandin (11), N. Dowd (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:34
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:37
  3. NYR
    3-5
    18:16
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson (19), A. Protas (15)
    snapxG 0.90Video
    3-6
    19:11

Penalties

NYR 11 PIM·WSH 7 PIM

1st

  • 16:27NYRVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

2nd

  • 9:13NYRSam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 9:13NYRSam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 9:13WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 14:00WSHBrandon Duhaime · Hookingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 18:33NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 2nd 7:33 — WSH 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Sourdif · Goal · xG 0.90R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.26J. Sourdif · Goal · xG 0.23T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.22H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.18A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.16A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.13C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.07R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.03C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.02R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.02D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH6 G · 4.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
2.63 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR40%60%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
21
Hits
21
27
Blocked shots
21
17
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD000-110.15030—24:07
16V. TrocheckC101-110.432024721:51
23A. FoxD112-110.05012—21:13
93M. ZibanejadC011-200.171305721:01
4B. SchneiderD101-110.06230—20:57
17W. BorgenD000-220.02340—20:33
13A. LafrenièreL000-160.49210—20:14
10A. PanarinL022-130.12000—19:41
50W. CuylleL000-110.13360—18:08
29M. RobertsonD000+100.08110—16:29
14T. RaddyshR000-200.08010—16:07
94G. PerreaultR011020.3211010015:16
24C. SoucyD000-110.09010—14:29
22J. BrodzinskiC000-200.012003311:47
39S. CarrickC000020.191176711:18
73M. RempeC000+110.00200009:16
43C. ShearyL000-120.08010—06:39
42N. LabaC000-110.091003305:45
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)26215.8083.13-1.8759:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).