Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Nick Suzuki scoring at 3:24. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 3:24 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were MTL 29, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Suzuki2 G

- ★★B. Marchand1 G

- ★★★C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals3rd period
0-110:18
0-215:01
1-215:33
2-218:38
Overtime
3-23:24
Penalties
1st
- 4:51
Uvis Balinskis · High stickingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
2nd
- 5:01
Aaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
- 13:15
Lane Hutson · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
- 15:37
Nick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
3rd
- 1:40
Adam Engstrom · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
- 4:17
Gustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
- 9:55
Juraj Slafkovský · Trippingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
OT
- 1:27
Brad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Suzuki, OT 3:24 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.83 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.1
- 2.32 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 1.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 3.04
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 16
- Hits
- 30
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 13
- Giveaways
- 9
- 7
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 3-0
3@
2OTthis game
2@
6Final
3@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
