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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV MNMT, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aaron Ekblad's goal at 13:12 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.9, FLA 3.7; shots on goal were WSH 27, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Reinhart (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21001215327
FLAFLA21008311529

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(18)
    M. Fehérváry (9), D. Strome (22)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:53
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(13)
    J. Petry (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:35
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(20)PPG
    S. Jones (16), B. Marchand (22)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:45
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson(19)PPG
    D. Strome (23), J. Chychrun (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:17

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(8)
    T. Wilson (18), A. Protas (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:11
  2. FLA
    B. Marchand(22)
    S. Bennett (15), S. Jones (17)
    batxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:16
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(2)
    S. Reinhart (21), A. Lundell (17)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:12
  4. FLA
    S. Reinhart(21)EN
    E. Luostarinen (13), A. Ekblad (13)
    backhandxG 0.44win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:25

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:33WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Holdingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 11:44WSHEthen Frank · Slashingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 16:54FLAA.J. Greer · Slashingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 18:04FLASeth Jones · High sticking double minordrawn by Justin Sourdif4 min

2nd

  • 4:20FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 11:48WSHRyan Leonard · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 13:50WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 4:15WSHAlex Ovechkin · Interferencedrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 6:55FLAGustav Forsling · Interferencedrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 7:19WSHRyan Leonard · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 17:12FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aaron Ekblad, 3rd 13:12 — FLA 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.44A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.26M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.24S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.17S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.16M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.14J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.08M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Studnicka · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
3.93 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.91 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.70 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH61%39%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.91 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/6
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
6
15
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011-140.50020—26:59
74J. CarlsonD000-110.00010—22:43
17D. StromeC123040.520007420:56
43T. WilsonR213+161.15200—20:48
8A. OvechkinL000-220.20502—20:24
3M. RoyD000-100.00220—17:38
21A. ProtasL011-230.451002517:19
42M. FehérváryD011+110.06260—17:05
24C. McMichaelL000-100.13110—16:28
38R. SandinD000-110.11110—15:56
34J. SourdifC000-100.001104514:39
26N. DowdC000030.281124114:38
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.00020—14:35
72A. BeauvillierR000000.080225014:17
9R. LeonardR000-110.38114—14:13
53E. FrankR000000.00102—08:53
22B. DuhaimeL000010.07100—06:34
29H. LapierreC000000.0201010006:09
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)28244.8573.24-0.7658:45

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).