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Blue Jackets at Ducks
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
FinalTV FDSNOH, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Mintyukov's goal at 16:31 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were CBJ 26, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 28 (.857); Lukas Dostal stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pavel Mintyukov (1 G), 3. Mason McTavish (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    P. Mintyukov1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1911017326
ANAANA21011117428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    M. Granlund(6)
    O. Zellweger (10), F. Vatrano (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:14
  2. ANA
    J. Trouba(6)
    R. Poehling (11), A. Killorn (9)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:00
  3. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(13)PPG
    C. Coyle (17), Z. Werenski (26)
    tip-inxG 0.38win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:54

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Marchment(5)
    D. Severson (8), I. Provorov (9)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:39
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(8)
    R. Johnston (8)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:36

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(14)
    D. Mateychuk (7), K. Johnson (8)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:44
  2. ANA
    P. Mintyukov(4)
    M. Granlund (8), R. Gudas (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +41 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:31

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:31ANABeckett Sennecke · Holding the stickdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 13:32CBJKent Johnson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:15ANABeckett Sennecke · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Elvis Merzlikins2 min
  • 16:30CBJMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Ian Moore2 min

3rd

  • 17:49CBJserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCBJ goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Mintyukov, 3rd 16:31 — ANA 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.44C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.33M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.21J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.21C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.21M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.20C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.18M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.16A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09P. Mintyukov · Goal · xG 0.09P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.09R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.00I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsANA
3.13 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.52 G
Even strength
4 G3.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ38%62%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 3.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsANA
26
Shots on goal
28
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
26
15
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD112-140.23010—27:56
9I. ProvorovD011010.01020—26:18
5D. MateychukD011000.03000—23:24
19A. FantilliC000-120.111203822:32
17M. MarchmentL101030.44102—19:41
78D. SeversonD011+120.16120—19:22
3C. CoyleC011000.113107517:38
86K. MarchenkoR000-110.21300—17:36
38B. JennerC000-130.170308017:11
23S. MonahanC000010.340006215:41
91K. JohnsonC011+110.15102015:40
10D. VoronkovL101040.67000—14:38
4C. SillingerC000-100.12000012:13
15D. FabbroD000-210.01200—10:30
7B. SmithD000-220.16000—10:07
21I. LundestromC000-100.00000008:51
65L. Del Bel BelluzC000-110.200006007:56
59E. ChinakhovR000-100.00000—07:21
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)28244.8573.87-0.1359:25

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).