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Stars at Ducks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸8
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 8-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 7-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Steel's goal at 12:41 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.7, ANA 2.7; shots on goal were DAL 25, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Petr Mrazek stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Harley (1 G, 1 A), 3. Miro Heiskanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL4738110825
ANAANA180928325

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    O. Bäck(3)SHG
    R. Faksa (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:37
  2. ANA
    R. Poehling(2)
    R. Gudas (6), R. Johnston (7)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:32
  3. DAL
    R. Hintz(11)
    J. Robertson (21), M. Bourque (7)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:42
  4. DAL
    S. Steel(5)
    J. Benn (6), M. Heiskanen (24)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:41
  5. DAL
    T. Harley(2)
    M. Rantanen (33)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    14:19

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(21)PPG
    M. Rantanen (34), M. Heiskanen (25)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    11:10
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(22)
    R. Hintz (19)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-1
    15:10
  3. DAL
    A. Erne(3)
    R. Faksa (13), T. Harley (11)
    wristxG 0.16Video
    7-1
    18:30

3rd period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(11)
    M. McTavish (14), C. Kreider (9)
    snapxG 0.03Video
    7-2
    1:01
  2. DAL
    I. Lyubushkin(1)
    J. Hryckowian (6), E. Lindell (11)
    snapxG 0.02Video
    8-2
    1:42
  3. ANA
    M. Granlund(5)
    J. LaCombe (15), T. Terry (25)
    snapxG 0.10Video
    8-3
    14:22

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·ANA 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:11DALJason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Ian Moore2 min

2nd

  • 1:15DALJason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 9:44ANAMikael Granlund · Interferencedrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
  • 12:34DALAlexander Petrovic · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

3rd

  • 5:01DALJason Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 5:01ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 5:01ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 5:01ANAFrank Vatrano · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 5:01ANAFrank Vatrano · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Steel, 1st 12:41 — DAL 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.47R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.16T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.14R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.02M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.00I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
2.78 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.86 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL51%49%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
25
Shots on goal
25
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
18
8
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
13
22
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD011+120.01040—23:12
4M. HeiskanenD022010.00020—22:05
55T. HarleyD112+530.23030—21:09
46I. LyubushkinD101+110.02110—17:50
53W. JohnstonC000000.200105016:43
5N. LundkvistD000+200.05130—16:43
96M. RantanenR022010.19000—16:03
28A. PetrovicD000-110.04112—16:00
18S. SteelC101+110.150005015:51
10O. BäckC101+220.20000015:33
22M. BourqueC011+200.000006015:26
21J. RobertsonL213+240.65016—15:18
24R. HintzC112+110.290004015:18
95M. DucheneC000-110.100108814:24
49J. HryckowianC011+110.011102514:19
12R. FaksaC022+210.080305613:52
14J. BennL011020.041004012:49
73A. ErneL101+130.48300—11:25
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)25223.8802.69-0.3160:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).