Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Axel Sandin-Pellikka's goal at 4:33 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 29, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. John Gibson stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Devin Cooley stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 A), 3. Patrick Kane (2 A).
Three stars
- ★A. DeBrincat2 G, 1 A

- ★★N. Kadri2 A

- ★★★P. Kane2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-01:02
2-04:33
2nd period
3-07:41
4-09:09
3rd period
4-18:02
4-29:07
4-314:40
Penalties
1st
- 18:11
John Gibson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
- 18:11
Adam Klapka · Slashingdrawn by John Gibson2 min
- 18:11
Ryan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
- 18:11
Travis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
2nd
- 2:24
Marco Kasper · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 3:51
Blake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
- 4:27
Dylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 9:35
Andrew Copp · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
3rd
- 6:33
Adam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
- 8:02
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Joel Farabee0 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Axel Sandin-Pellikka, 1st 4:33 — 58% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 3.14 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.1
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 20
- Hits
- 15
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 5
- 18
- Giveaways
- 17
- 2
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 2-0
4@
3this game
2@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
