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Blues at Senators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸2
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV FDSNMW, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Neighbours's goal at 17:36 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 20, OTT 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Jake Neighbours (2 G), 2. Joel Hofer (41 saves, .976), 3. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Neighbours2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer41 saves, .976
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    F. Zetterlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0211018220
OTTOTT015010117142

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(7)
    B. Schenn (6), P. Suter (7)
    batxG 0.56win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:36

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(8)
    P. Buchnevich (9)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:12
  2. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(6)PPG
    S. Halliday (2), C. Giroux (13)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:39

Penalties

STL 20 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:32STLRobert Thomas · High sticking double minordrawn by Brady Tkachuk4 min
  • 11:05STLJake Neighbours · Interferencedrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 14:03STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

2nd

  • 5:40STLBrayden Schenn · High stickingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min
  • 15:32OTTClaude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 10:40STLDylan Holloway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:19STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:53OTTDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 19:53STLJoel Hofer · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 19:53STLOskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 19:53OTTTim Stützle · Roughingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 19:53OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 19:53STLPhilip Broberg · Roughingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:53OTTDrake Batherson · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Neighbours, 2nd 17:36 — STL 49% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.31N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.28H. Hodgson · On goal · xG 0.22F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.20D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.19F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.17S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.16R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.15C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.06S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 3.8 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsOTT
2.42 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL18%82%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsOTT
20
Shots on goal
42
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/7
20
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000+140.09142—25:35
17C. FowlerD000+110.02000—25:04
55C. ParaykoD000+100.00120—24:07
72J. FaulkD000010.07112—21:55
22P. SuterC011+110.170203620:47
89P. BuchnevichL011+100.001005019:44
18R. ThomasC000+110.091346519:10
81D. HollowayL000+110.24312—17:05
70O. SundqvistC000000.194224615:32
63J. NeighboursL202+240.91414—15:15
71M. JosephR000000.03220—14:46
10B. SchennC011+100.071124514:08
77N. BjugstadC000000.003104013:36
23L. MaillouxD000030.13000—12:40
54D. DvorskyR000040.080108011:10
51M. KesselD000000.00000—08:45
65A. KaskimakiC000000.00000007:39
25J. KyrouR000000.00000—00:53
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)42411.9763.79+2.7959:49

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).