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Sharks at Stars
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV Victory+, NBCSCA·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Steel's goal at 10:56 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 17, DAL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sam Steel (1 G), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    S. Steel1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS031608117
DALDAL1904311424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(18)PPG
    W. Johnston (16), M. Rantanen (24)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:20

2nd period

  1. SJS
    C. Graf(4)
    T. Dellandrea (7), N. Leddy (3)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:23

3rd period

  1. DAL
    S. Steel(4)
    A. Petrovic (7), M. Rantanen (25)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +32 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:56
  2. DAL
    M. Rantanen(13)
    W. Johnston (17), V. Kolyachonok (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:39
  3. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(5)EN
    R. Hintz (16)
    wristxG 0.52Video
    1-4
    17:41

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:05SJSDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 13:01SJSMacklin Celebrini · Hookingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 18:00DALMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

2nd

  • 5:16DALMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 13:06SJSJeff Skinner · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 13:06DALMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

3rd

  • 0:27DALIlya Lyubushkin · High stickingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 3:56DALWyatt Johnston · Hookingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSJS goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Steel, 3rd 10:56 — DAL 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.52J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.25S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.20W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.18W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.16S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.16N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.12K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.07S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.06R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.05W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.03S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsDAL
1.81 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS37%63%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsDAL
17
Shots on goal
24
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-110.02020—22:14
71M. CelebriniC000-110.182024520:54
21A. WennbergC000-100.090005020:27
9D. OrlovD000000.00302—20:07
72W. EklundL000-120.15000—19:09
38M. FerraroD000-200.00210—18:07
51C. GrafR101-120.45110—17:47
53J. SkinnerL000-220.12202—17:32
4N. LeddyD011000.00010—17:29
6S. DickinsonD000+110.04120—17:22
10T. DellandreaC011-120.126003617:09
96P. KurashevC000000.00100017:08
2W. SmithC000010.16000016:38
37T. LiljegrenD000-110.01020—15:48
73T. ToffoliC000-110.04100014:03
81A. GaudetteR000020.261005009:12
23B. GoodrowC000010.13100007:54
63Z. OstapchukC000000.003008006:06
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)23203.8702.42-0.5859:35

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).