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St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FDSNMW, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 6:04 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 39, BOS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.8 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (37 saves, .949), 2. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 2 A), 3. Pavel Zacha (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Korpisalo37 saves, .949
  2. ★★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Zacha2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL010115114239
BOSBOS2143805527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:30
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:25

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:59
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:04
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:26
  4. BOS
    P. Zacha(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.32win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    19:59

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    9:07

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:17BOSTanner Jeannot · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min

2nd

  • 19:45STLJake Neighbours · Interferencedrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

3rd

  • 10:24STLPavel Buchnevich · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min
  • 18:16BOSElias Lindholm · High stickingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalSTL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, 2nd 6:04 — BOS 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.32M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.22A. Steeves · Goal · xG 0.20M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.09A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.07M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.06F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.05F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.03P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsBOS
2.92 G
All situations
5 G2.2
2.72 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL63%37%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsBOS
39
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000-250.12010—21:13
75T. TuckerD000010.00200—19:53
72J. FaulkD000020.03230—19:51
17C. FowlerD000020.10000—19:35
55C. ParaykoD011-120.04000—19:33
23L. MaillouxD000-130.08100—18:19
10B. SchennC000000.004006017:59
54D. DvorskyR000000.005004716:34
81D. HollowayL011030.39300—16:21
25J. KyrouR011+130.36010—15:46
22P. SuterC101+150.611004515:19
65A. KaskimakiC000-110.02010015:17
63J. NeighboursL000-130.25502—14:55
18R. ThomasC000-120.240006014:28
89P. BuchnevichL101030.30102—14:28
71M. JosephR000-110.25200—13:21
77N. BjugstadC000-230.1140010012:53
70O. SundqvistC000-200.031104412:01
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)27225.8152.18-2.8260:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).