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Stars at Rangers
NHL

Dallas Stars at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
New York Rangers
▸3
Final/OTTV Victory+, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Vladislav Gavrikov scoring at 1:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Gavrikov's goal at 1:09 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 26, NYR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Vladislav Gavrikov (1 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (24 saves, .923), 3. Casey DeSmith (38 saves, .927).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    V. Gavrikov1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    C. DeSmith38 saves, .927

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1100121400226
NYRNYR11001111812341

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Soucy(3)
    N. Laba (4), C. Sheary (6)
    wristxG 0.76win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:51
  2. DAL
    K. Capobianco(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:04

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(11)
    W. Johnston (15)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:32
  2. NYR
    W. Cuylle(8)
    V. Trocheck (7), A. Panarin (19)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +44 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:47

Overtime

  1. NYR
    V. Gavrikov(5)
    A. Panarin (20), M. Zibanejad (11)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:09

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:41NYRCarson Soucy · Cross checkingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
  • 11:40DALAlexander Petrovic · High stickingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

2nd

  • 12:37DALJustin Hryckowian · Interferencedrawn by Noah Laba2 min
  • 15:10NYRCarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:59DALOskar Bäck · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 4:13DALSam Steel · High sticking double minordrawn by Alexis Lafrenière4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDAL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Gavrikov, OT 1:09 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.76W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.21W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.20V. Gavrikov · Goal · xG 0.19M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.15W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.14S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.12C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.10S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.08N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.08W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.08N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.07M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.02S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.02S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 4.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYR
2.12 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL21%79%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
41
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-120.03010—28:50
23E. LindellD000-110.04020—27:11
53W. JohnstonC011+120.230006021:32
46I. LyubushkinD000020.06320—21:14
96M. RantanenR101+140.5510010021:13
21J. RobertsonL000010.03200—20:20
24R. HintzC000020.453004317:59
28A. PetrovicD000+110.02112—17:30
18S. SteelC000-120.151042516:25
14J. BennL000000.003107516:14
22M. BourqueC000030.15010013:19
12R. FaksaC000-100.040207013:13
20K. CapobiancoD101020.04000—12:05
15C. BlackwellC000-100.281106311:48
10O. BäckC000010.01012011:46
44V. KolyachonokD000020.05110—11:37
49J. HryckowianC000-100.001125010:54
91T. SeguinC000010.0000010001:12
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(O)41383.9274.05+1.0560:14

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).