Skip to content
Jets at Hurricanes
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN3·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 11:52 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 13, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Thomas Milic stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.3 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 12 of 13 (.923), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (3 G), 2. Brandon Bussi (12 saves, .923), 3. Jordan Martinook (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Bussi12 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG051503113
CARCAR110010415535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(13)
    S. Gostisbehere (14), S. Aho (16)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:06

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(13)
    G. Vilardi (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:41

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(3)
    M. Jankowski (3), S. Gostisbehere (15)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +33 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:52
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(14)
    K. Miller (9), A. Svechnikov (6)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:39
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(15)EN
    A. Svechnikov (7)
    backhandxG 0.52Video
    1-4
    18:57
  4. CAR
    A. Nikishin(3)
    J. Robidas (1), E. Robinson (2)
    slapxG 0.02Video
    1-5
    19:37

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:36WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:08WPGColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min

2nd

  • 0:49CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 12:53CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 15:33WPGThomas Milic · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 18:53WPGGabriel Vilardi · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 18:53CARWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 18:53WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 18:53CARJordan Martinook · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

3rd

  • 4:58WPGDylan DeMelo · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWPG goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 3rd 11:52 — CAR 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.51J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.39M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.16J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.12L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.11K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robidas · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · Goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCAR
1.51 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.21 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG30%70%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCAR
13
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-100.00310—23:58
81K. ConnorL000-110.39000—21:31
55M. ScheifeleC101-120.202004421:00
64L. StanleyD000-100.00622—20:07
57E. SalomonssonD000-310.09140—19:17
54D. SambergD000-100.01120—18:18
13G. VilardiC011-100.000026718:05
2D. DeMeloD000-130.01314—18:00
6C. MillerD000-100.02322—16:59
62N. NiederreiterR000-210.06220—15:38
9A. IafalloL000-200.00200—14:46
91C. PerfettiC000-130.51000013:15
17A. LowryC000-100.072106313:10
7V. NamestnikovC000000.002001412:40
19J. ToewsC000-110.130006912:38
70T. PearsonL000000.04210—12:24
36M. BarronC000-210.022007711:26
14G. NyquistR000-100.00110—10:10
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32T. Milic(L)34304.8822.71-1.2958:38

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).