Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 2:04 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 3.2; shots on goal were MTL 19, VGK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 2. Samuel Montembeault (30 saves, .968), 3. Mark Stone (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

- ★★S. Montembeault30 saves, .968

- ★★★M. Stone1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-014:30
2nd period
2-02:04
3rd period
3-03:36
3-115:16
4-118:03
Penalties
1st
- 8:45
Mike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
2nd
- 12:41
Arber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
- 12:41
Keegan Kolesar · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
- 19:12
Ben Hutton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cole Caufield, 2nd 2:04 — 63% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.73 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 2.23 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.3
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.09
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 15
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 11
- Giveaways
- 17
- 9
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
4@
1this game
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






